World Cup 2022: DFB team, scenarios in the group phase: This is how Germany progresses at the 2022 World Cup

After the 2-1 defeat at the start of the World Cup against Japan, the DFB team is under pressure early in the tournament. However, nothing is lost yet. SPOX shows how Germany can still make it to the round of 16.

At the start of a World Cup group stage, the German national team once again had to put up with a severe setback. As at the World Cup in Russia four years ago, they had to admit defeat to a supposedly weaker opponent in Qatar – then it was Mexico who defeated the reigning world champions 1-0, today Japan succeeded at the Khalifa International Stadium in ar-Rayyan the surprise with the 2:1 victory.

So the World Cup debut of national coach Hansi Flick was botched, and the year 2018 is threatening to repeat itself. Already in the next group game against the dangerous Spaniards, who easily won their opening game against Costa Rica 7-0, the DFB team is under pressure. This game against the 2010 world champion can then already decide about elimination, but also steer in the right direction.

World Cup 2022: The current table of Group E

rank team Sp. S u N Gates differential pt.
1 Spain 1 1 0 0 7-0 7 3
2 Japan 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
3 Germany 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
4 Costa Rica 1 0 0 1 0:7 -7 0

The DFB team still has to play at least two games at the World Cup in Qatar. On November 27, the Germans will face Spain. At the end of the group phase, on December 1st, they face Costa Rica. As far as Germany’s progress is concerned, this of course also depends on how the other games end.

Also important: If there is a tie on points, the goal difference is taken first to make a decision. If there is a tie again, the goals scored will decide. Then it continues with the direct comparison: In this case, first the number of points is taken in a direct comparison, then the goal difference and finally the goals scored in a direct comparison. After the direct comparison, the fair play rating decides, in the last instance a drawing of lots follows.

In the following, SPOX explains what needs to happen for Germany to progress.

DFB team, scenarios in the group phase: This is how Germany progresses at the 2022 World Cup

The Germany team advances to the round of 16 of the World Cup if they win the group matches against Spain and Costa Rica and, in the event that three teams finish the group with six points, have either the best or second-best goal difference. Should Japan and Costa Rica draw, with two German wins the difference would not even matter as far as progress is concerned, assuming that the Spaniards also defeat Japan.

Scenario 1:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Japan 3 2 0 1 6
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

Scenario 2:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Japan 3 2 0 1 6
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

Scenario 3:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
2 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
3 Japan 3 2 0 1 6
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

Scenario 4:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
2 Japan 3 2 0 1 6
3 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

scenario 5:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Japan 3 1 1 1 4
4 Costa Rica 3 0 1 2 1

Scenario 6:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
2 Spain 3 2 0 1 6
3 Japan 3 1 1 1 4
4 Costa Rica 3 0 1 2 1

Scenario 7:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Japan 3 3 0 9 9
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Spain 3 1 0 2 3
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

Scenario 8:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Japan 3 2 1 0 9
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Spain 3 1 1 1 4
4 Costa Rica 3 0 0 3 0

Scenario 9:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Japan 3 3 0 9 9
2 Germany 3 2 0 1 6
3 Costa Rica 3 1 0 2 3
4 Spain 3 1 0 2 3

Even a draw against Spain and a win against Costa Rica could be enough if the Japanese lose their games against Spain and Costa Rica. Then Costa Rica and Japan would have three points, Germany four.

Scenario 10:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 9
2 Germany 3 1 1 1 4
3 Japan 3 1 0 2 3
4 Costa Rica 3 1 0 2 3

Even with just one win and two losses, Germany could still make it to the round of 16. If you lose against Spain and win against Costa Rica, Japan also lose the games against Spain and Costa Rica in this case, Germany, Japan and Costa Rica would each have three points. Germany would only need the better goal difference.

Scenario 11:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 9
2 Germany 3 1 0 2 3
3 Japan 3 1 0 2 3
4 Costa Rica 3 1 0 2 3

Scenario 12:

rank team Sp. S u N pt.
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 9
2 Germany 3 1 0 2 3
3 Costa Rica 3 1 0 2 3
4 Japan 3 1 0 2 3

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