According to a new Opinion 2022 survey conducted by our partner Elabe for BFMTV, L’Express and SFR, Emmanuel Macron is losing ground to Valérie Pécresse and Marine Le Pen for the first round of the presidential election. But especially in the second round, the hypothesis where he should face Valérie Pécresse, the two candidates are given at 50-50.
Still in the second against Marine Le Pen, if he is always given a winner, the outgoing president still loses a little ground. He would win with 54.5% of the vote if the second round took place today, against 45.5% for his rival. The two candidates have never been so close. As a reminder, Emmanuel Macron won in 2017 with 66.1% of the vote.
It must be said that the qualification of Valérie Pécresse is not acquired for the second all immediately because the candidate of the Republicans and the candidate of the National Rally are perfectly tied.
Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse are indeed tied with 17% of the voting intentions while Eric Zemmour climbs a little to 13% but remains at 4 points of the qualification.
Sample of 1,465 people representative of the French population and selected according to the quota method applied to the following variables: sex, age and profession of the interviewee after stratification by region and category of agglomeration. The query was carried out online on January 10 and 11, 2022.